dc.contributor.author | Nguyen, Sang Minh | |
dc.contributor.author | Deppen, Stephen | |
dc.contributor.author | Nguyen, Giang Huong | |
dc.contributor.author | Pham, Xuan Pham | |
dc.contributor.author | Bui, Tung Duc | |
dc.contributor.author | Tran, Van Tran | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-06-19T17:08:21Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-06-19T17:08:21Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2019-07-22 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Nguyen, S. M., Deppen, S., Nguyen, G. H., Pham, D. X., Bui, T. D., & Tran, T. V. (2019). Projecting Cancer Incidence for 2025 in the 2 Largest Populated Cities in Vietnam. Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center, 26(1), 1073274819865274. https://doi.org/10.1177/1073274819865274 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1073-2748 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1803/10056 | |
dc.description.abstract | The population size and projected demographics of Vietnam's 2 largest cities, Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hanoi, will change dramatically over the next decade. Demographic changes in an aging population coupled with income growth and changes in lifestyle will result in a very different distribution of common cancers in the future. The study aimed to project the number of cancer incidence in the 2 largest populated cities in Vietnam for the year 2025. Cancer incidence data from 2004 to 2013 collected from population-based cancer registries in these 2 cities were provided by Vietnam National Cancer Institute. Incidence cases in 2013 and the previous decades average annual percent changes of age-standardized cancer incidence rates combined with expected population growth were modeled to project cancer incidence for each cancer site by gender to 2025. A substantial double in cancer incidence from 2013 to 2025 resulted from a growing and aging population in HCMC and Hanoi. Lung, colorectum, breast, thyroid, and liver cancers, which represent 67% of the overall cancer burden, are projected to become the leading cancer diagnoses by 2025 regardless of genders. For men, the leading cancer sites in 2025 are predicted to be lung, colorectum, esophagus, liver, and pharynx cancer, and among women, they are expected to be breast, thyroid, colorectum, lung, and cervical cancer. We projected an epidemiological transition from infectious-associated cancers to a high burden of cancers that have mainly been attributed to lifestyle in both cities. We predicted that with 16.9% growth in the overall population and dramatic aging with these 2 urban centers, the burdens of cancer incidence will increase sharply in both cities over the next decades. Data on projections of cancer incidence in both cities provide useful insights for directing appropriate policies and cancer control programs in Vietnam | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: SMN was supported by a VECD Global Health Fellowship, funded by the National Cancer Institute (NCI) and the Fogarty International Center (FIC) of the NIH (D43 TW009337). The views expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessary represent the views of the NIH. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en_US | en_US |
dc.publisher | Cancer Contol | en_US |
dc.rights | This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage). | |
dc.source.uri | https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1073274819865274 | |
dc.subject | cancer incidence | en_US |
dc.subject | projections | en_US |
dc.subject | average annual percent changes | en_US |
dc.subject | age-standardized cancer incidence rates | en_US |
dc.subject | demographic shifts | en_US |
dc.title | Projecting Cancer Incidence for 2025 in the 2 Largest Populated Cities in Vietnam | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1177/1073274819865274 | |